Stock Market Update Tuesday March 4, 2025

Stock Market Update – Tuesday, March 4, 2025 Equities opened the session with a sharp sell-off, dragging the S&P 500 (SPX) down to its 200-day moving average near 5,735, a key technical support level that prompted a relief bounce, briefly turning major indices positive. (Notably, the last time SPX traded below its 200-day moving average was in November 2023.) However, persistent late-session volatility once again dominated trading, erasing most of the intraday rebound in the final 30 minutes.

For the session:

• S&P 500 (SPX/SPY): -1.2%

• Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): -0.4%

• Russell 2000 (IWM): -1.1%

Away From Stocks:

• Treasury yields at the long end of the curve climbed, with the 30-year yield rising eight basis points, paring recent bond market gains.

• WTI crude oil slipped below $68 per barrel, signaling ongoing demand concerns and macro uncertainty.

• Gold reclaimed the $2,900 level, reinforcing its status as a safe-haven asset amid market turbulence.

• Bitcoin staged a strong rebound, climbing back above $88,000, reflecting continued crypto volatility and investor speculation.

• The VIX, Wall Street’s fear gauge, held above 23, underscoring elevated market uncertainty and risk aversion.

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On Monday, stock markets fell sharply after President Trump announced that the 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada would take effect immediately, along with increased tariffs on China.

Tonight, President Trump will give an important speech to a joint session of Congress. This address will cover critical issues such as trade policy, reconciliation efforts, the situation in Ukraine, immigration, cryptocurrency regulation, and tax policy, as well as the government shutdown. Investor sentiment is particularly sensitive to tariff risks. Earnings reports from this quarter show a notable increase in mentions of tariffs among companies in the S&P 500 and Russell 2000, reaching levels not seen since 2019. The market's decline on Monday was a direct reaction to these concerns. This Friday is the all-important jobs report. With significant events nearly every trading day this week.