Stock Market Update Monday June 30, 2025

Stock Market Update Monday June 30, 2025 Markets closed out the second quarter on a resilient note, with the S&P 500 climbing another 0.5% to cap a robust first half. The benchmark index is now up 6% year-to-date and has surged 21% from its April 8 trough, underscoring continued investor confidence amid a backdrop of moderating inflation and steady economic data.

Daily performance snapshot:

• S&P 500 (SPX): +0.5%

• Nasdaq-100 (QQQ): +0.9%

• Russell 2000 (IWM): +0.1%

Fixed Income Markets: Treasury yields declined across the curve in a classic bull-flattening move, as long-duration bonds outperformed. The 30-year yield fell 7 basis points to 4.78%, while the 2-year note edged slightly lower to 3.72%, from 3.73%, reflecting softening rate hike expectations.

Commodities & Alternatives:

• WTI crude oil eased just below $65 per barrel, continuing its range-bound trend amid mixed global demand signals.

• Gold rebounded to $3,305 per ounce, supported by a weaker dollar and geopolitical hedging.

• Bitcoin stabilized above $107,000, maintaining its consolidation after recent gains.

• The VIX ticked higher towards 17, signaling a modest uptick in implied volatility as investors assess macro and earnings risks heading into Q3.

Tight Senate Vote Sets Stage for High-Stakes Week on Capitol Hill On Saturday, the Senate passed a key procedural motion for the Budget and Borrowing Bill (BBB) by a narrow vote of 51-49. A final Senate vote is expected between Tuesday and Wednesday. If the bill passes the Senate, it will then go to the House of Representatives, where the leadership will need to decide on a strategy.