Stock Market Update Friday April 11, 2025

Stock Market Update Friday April 11, 2025 Markets opened under pressure, threatening to extend Thursday’s declines, but the weakness was short-lived. A strong intraday reversal pushed major indices sharply higher, capping off an exceptionally volatile week.

• Friday performance: S&P 500 +1.8%, Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) +1.9%, Russell 2000 (IWM) +1.5%

• Weekly performance: S&P 500 gained approximately 5%, despite a roughly 13% peak-to-trough range marked by several sharp intraday swings.

Away From Stocks: Treasury yields rose across the curve, with front-end selling leading the move. The 2-year yield climbed 12 basis points to 3.96%, while the 10-year rose 8 basis points to 4.48%. The 30-year held relatively steady at 4.85%, inching down just 1 bp on the day.

WTI crude continued its climb, approaching $62 per barrel. Gold surged to $3,235 per ounce, extending its recent breakout. Bitcoin advanced to just under $84,000, and the VIX fell to just below 36—down 11 points from last Friday—reflecting a sharp drop in implied volatility despite this week’s turbulence.

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Signs of a Market Bottom: Examining technical signals and historical precedents that suggest a potential inflection point. Investor Sentiment and Market Psychology: How extreme fear or capitulation could serve as a contrarian indicator for a rebound. Technology Stocks as a Leading Indicator: Why movements in the tech sector may offer early signals for broader market trends.

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S&P500 SPY ETF Weekly Chart

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Going forward, macroeconomics will be a key factor. Today's Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index significantly underperformed expectations, with a forecast of 54.5 but an actual result of 50.8. The fact that markets didn't decline suggests that negative news is already anticipated. We will wait to initiate new positions until our algorithm generates buy signals for all five major market indexes and a selection of leading stocks.